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Browns vs. Jets

Snapshot for "Browns vs. Jets": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $3.3M Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Browns vs. Jets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 18.5100%
O/U 20.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
Browns O/U 10.5100%
Jets O/U 10.5100%
Jets O/U 12.5100%
Jets O/U 13.5100%
Jets O/U 16.5100%
Jets 1H O/U 6.5100%
Jets 2H O/U 6.5100%
Exact Margin: Jets by 1-6100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline50%
Browns vs. Jets0%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 5.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 5.50%
3Q O/U 6.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
Browns O/U 12.50%
Browns O/U 13.50%
Browns O/U 16.50%
Browns O/U 19.50%
Browns O/U 20.50%
Browns O/U 23.50%
Browns O/U 26.50%
Browns O/U 27.50%
Browns O/U 30.50%
Browns O/U 34.50%
Jets O/U 19.50%
Jets O/U 20.50%
Jets O/U 23.50%
Jets O/U 26.50%
Jets O/U 27.50%
Jets O/U 30.50%
Jets O/U 34.50%
Browns 1H O/U 6.50%
Browns 1H O/U 10.50%
Browns 1H O/U 12.50%
Browns 1H O/U 13.50%
Browns 1H O/U 16.50%
Browns 1H O/U 17.50%
Browns 1H O/U 19.50%
Browns 1H O/U 20.50%
Jets 1H O/U 10.50%
Jets 1H O/U 12.50%
Jets 1H O/U 13.50%
Jets 1H O/U 16.50%
Jets 1H O/U 17.50%
Jets 1H O/U 19.50%
Jets 1H O/U 20.50%
Browns 2H O/U 6.50%
Browns 2H O/U 10.50%
Browns 2H O/U 12.50%
Browns 2H O/U 13.50%
Browns 2H O/U 16.50%
Browns 2H O/U 17.50%
Browns 2H O/U 19.50%
Browns 2H O/U 20.50%
Jets 2H O/U 10.50%
Jets 2H O/U 12.50%
Jets 2H O/U 13.50%
Jets 2H O/U 16.50%
Jets 2H O/U 17.50%
Jets 2H O/U 19.50%
Jets 2H O/U 20.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Exact Margin: Browns by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Browns by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Browns by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Browns by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Browns by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Jets by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Jets by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Jets by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q0%
Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Jets Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Browns vs. Jets: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Jets Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, browns vs. jets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Jets, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Browns vs. Jets".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.3M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Browns vs. Jets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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