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Giants vs. Commanders

Snapshot for "Giants vs. Commanders": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

O/U 29.5 100% O/U 31.5 100% O/U 33.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% Volume: $2.0M Liquidity: $562 Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Giants vs. Commanders

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 28.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
Giants O/U 10.5100%
Giants O/U 12.5100%
Giants O/U 13.5100%
Giants O/U 16.5100%
Giants O/U 19.5100%
Giants O/U 23.5100%
Giants O/U 26.5100%
Commanders O/U 10.5100%
Commanders O/U 12.5100%
Commanders O/U 13.5100%
Commanders O/U 16.5100%
Commanders O/U 19.5100%
Commanders O/U 20.5100%
Commanders O/U 23.5100%
Commanders O/U 26.5100%
Commanders 1H O/U 6.5100%
Commanders 1H O/U 10.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 6.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 10.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 12.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 13.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 16.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 17.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 19.5100%
Giants 2H O/U 20.5100%
Commanders 2H O/U 6.5100%
Commanders 2H O/U 10.5100%
Commanders 2H O/U 12.5100%
Commanders 2H O/U 13.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Exact Margin: Tie100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Giants O/U 20.577%
Giants vs. Commanders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.551%
Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.551%
Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.551%
Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.551%
Giants vs. Commanders50%
Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -6.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
Giants O/U 27.50%
Giants O/U 30.50%
Giants O/U 34.50%
Commanders O/U 27.50%
Commanders O/U 30.50%
Commanders O/U 34.50%
Giants 1H O/U 6.50%
Giants 1H O/U 10.50%
Giants 1H O/U 12.50%
Giants 1H O/U 13.50%
Giants 1H O/U 16.50%
Giants 1H O/U 17.50%
Giants 1H O/U 19.50%
Giants 1H O/U 20.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 12.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 13.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 16.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 17.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 19.50%
Commanders 1H O/U 20.50%
Commanders 2H O/U 16.50%
Commanders 2H O/U 17.50%
Commanders 2H O/U 19.50%
Commanders 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Giants by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Giants by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Giants by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Giants by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Giants by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Commanders by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Commanders by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
1Q Moneyline0%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The Giants vs. Commanders prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming NFL football game between Giants and Commanders, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Giants" if Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Comman…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 29.5 at 100% for "Giants vs. Commanders".

O/U 29.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.0M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Giants vs. Commanders. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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