🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Raiders vs. Patriots

"Raiders vs. Patriots" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Spread -4.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Spread -7.5 100% Spread -8.5 100% Volume: $2.2M Closes: 11 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Raiders vs. Patriots

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
O/U 23.5100%
O/U 25.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
1H Spread -13.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -13.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -10.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 28.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 14.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
Raiders O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 12.5100%
Raiders O/U 13.5100%
Raiders O/U 16.5100%
Patriots O/U 10.5100%
Patriots O/U 12.5100%
Patriots O/U 13.5100%
Patriots O/U 16.5100%
Patriots O/U 19.5100%
Patriots O/U 20.5100%
Patriots O/U 23.5100%
Patriots O/U 26.5100%
Patriots O/U 27.5100%
Patriots O/U 30.5100%
Patriots O/U 34.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 6.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 6.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 10.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 12.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 13.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 16.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 17.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 19.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 20.5100%
Raiders 2H O/U 6.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 6.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 10.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 12.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 13.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 16.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 17.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 19.5100%
Patriots 2H O/U 20.5100%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 21+100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Raiders vs. Patriots0%
O/U 63.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
Raiders O/U 19.50%
Raiders O/U 20.50%
Raiders O/U 23.50%
Raiders O/U 26.50%
Raiders O/U 27.50%
Raiders O/U 30.50%
Raiders O/U 34.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 12.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 20.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 12.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 20.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 14-200%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Raiders vs. Patriots: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to raiders vs. patriots. In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will resolve to "Patri…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -4.5 at 100% for "Raiders vs. Patriots".

Spread -4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.2M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Raiders vs. Patriots. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Raiders vs. Patriots on Oscar Predictions 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Oscar Predictions 2026.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports NFL Prediction Markets