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Warriors vs. Rockets

"Warriors vs. Rockets" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Spread -5.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% O/U 222.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Volume: $3.1M Liquidity: $2K Closes: 12 Nov 2026
Open live market →
Warriors vs. Rockets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 222.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 220.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 218.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 216.5100%
O/U 214.5100%
O/U 212.5100%
O/U 210.5100%
O/U 208.5100%
O/U 206.5100%
O/U 204.5100%
O/U 202.5100%
O/U 200.5100%
O/U 198.5100%
O/U 196.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 9.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 18.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5100%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 6.5100%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5100%
Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 2.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 4.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5100%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5100%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5100%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.5100%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.5100%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 8.5100%
Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.5100%
O/U 221.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q O/U 54.5100%
4Q O/U 55.5100%
Rockets O/U 114.5100%
Rockets 1H O/U 55.5100%
Odd/Even Score100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H O/U 106.5100%
1Q O/U 52.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 51.5100%
3Q O/U 56.5100%
4Q O/U 53.5100%
Rockets O/U 112.5100%
Warriors O/U 106.5100%
Rockets 1H O/U 53.5100%
Warriors 1H O/U 50.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
Rockets O/U 113.5100%
4Q O/U 57.5100%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 4.5100%
1H O/U 104.5100%
1Q O/U 50.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q O/U 49.5100%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5100%
3Q O/U 54.5100%
Rockets O/U 110.5100%
Warriors O/U 104.5100%
Rockets 1H O/U 51.5100%
Warriors 1H O/U 48.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q O/U 54.5100%
Warriors O/U 107.5100%
1H O/U 102.5100%
1Q O/U 48.5100%
3Q O/U 52.5100%
Rockets O/U 108.5100%
Warriors O/U 102.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1H O/U 100.5100%
1Q O/U 46.5100%
Rockets O/U 106.5100%
Warriors O/U 100.5100%
1H O/U 98.5100%
1Q O/U 44.5100%
Rockets O/U 104.5100%
Warriors O/U 98.5100%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
1H O/U 96.5100%
1Q O/U 42.5100%
Rockets O/U 102.5100%
Warriors O/U 96.5100%
1H O/U 94.5100%
1H O/U 92.5100%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
O/U 219.5100%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 17.5100%
Rockets 2H O/U 56.5100%
Warriors 2H O/U 53.5100%
Rockets 2H O/U 54.5100%
Warriors 2H O/U 51.5100%
Rockets 2H O/U 58.5100%
Warriors 2H O/U 55.5100%
Rockets 2H O/U 52.5100%
Warriors 2H O/U 49.5100%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.590%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.590%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.590%
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.586%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.580%
De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.556%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.556%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.555%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.555%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.551%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.551%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.551%
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.551%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.550%
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 3.550%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.550%
De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.550%
Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.550%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.550%
Tari Eason: Steals O/U 0.550%
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 3.510%
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 1.510%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.510%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.510%
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.510%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.510%
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 1.510%
Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.510%
Al Horford: Blocks O/U 0.510%
Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.510%
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 1.55%
Warriors vs. Rockets0%
O/U 224.50%
O/U 226.50%
Spread -7.50%
O/U 228.50%
Spread -8.50%
O/U 230.50%
Spread -9.50%
O/U 232.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -11.50%
O/U 234.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -13.50%
O/U 236.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -15.50%
O/U 238.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -17.50%
O/U 240.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -19.50%
O/U 242.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -21.50%
O/U 244.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -23.50%
O/U 246.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -25.50%
O/U 248.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -27.50%
O/U 250.50%
Spread -18.50%
O/U 223.50%
Spread -29.50%
O/U 252.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -33.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.50%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.50%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.50%
Georges Niang: Points O/U 7.50%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.50%
Gui Santos: Points O/U 7.50%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.50%
Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.50%
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.50%
Georges Niang: Assists O/U 1.50%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.50%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.50%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.50%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.50%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 11.50%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.50%
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.50%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.50%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 1.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 3.50%
Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.50%
Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.50%
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.50%
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.50%
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.50%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Al Horford: Points O/U 4.50%
Al Horford: Points O/U 9.50%
Al Horford: Points O/U 14.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.50%
Gui Santos: Points O/U 4.50%
Gui Santos: Points O/U 9.50%
Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.50%
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.50%
Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.50%
Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.50%
Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.50%
Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.50%
Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.50%
Al Horford: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Al Horford: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.50%
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 5.50%
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 5.50%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.50%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 25.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1H O/U 108.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q O/U 53.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q O/U 58.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
Warriors O/U 108.50%
Warriors 1H O/U 52.50%
Team to Score First0%
Overtime?0%
Race to 100%
Race to 200%
Race to 300%
1Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 110.50%
1Q O/U 56.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 55.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q O/U 57.50%
3Q O/U 60.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
Rockets O/U 116.50%
Warriors O/U 110.50%
Rockets 1H O/U 57.50%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 9.50%
Warriors 1H O/U 54.50%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 14.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.50%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H O/U 112.50%
1Q O/U 58.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q O/U 57.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q O/U 62.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
Rockets O/U 118.50%
Warriors O/U 112.50%
Rockets 1H O/U 59.50%
Warriors 1H O/U 56.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H O/U 114.50%
1Q O/U 60.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q O/U 64.50%
Rockets O/U 120.50%
Warriors O/U 114.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H O/U 116.50%
1Q O/U 62.50%
Rockets O/U 122.50%
Warriors O/U 116.50%
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H O/U 118.50%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 64.50%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Rockets O/U 124.50%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Warriors O/U 118.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 120.50%
1Q O/U 66.50%
Rockets O/U 126.50%
Warriors O/U 120.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H O/U 122.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -18.50%
1H O/U 124.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.50%
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 5.50%
Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.50%
Tari Eason: Assists O/U 3.50%
Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 2.50%
Tari Eason: Steals O/U 1.50%
Tari Eason: Steals O/U 2.50%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
2Q O/U 52.50%
Warriors 1H O/U 51.50%
Rockets 2H O/U 60.50%
Warriors 2H O/U 57.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Warriors vs. Rockets. In the upcoming NBA game between Warriors and Rockets, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Warriors wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -5.5 at 100% for "Warriors vs. Rockets".

Spread -5.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.1M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Warriors vs. Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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