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Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Snapshot for "Thunder vs. Trail Blazers": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

O/U 224.5 100% O/U 222.5 100% O/U 220.5 100% O/U 218.5 100% Volume: $4.1M Closes: 12 Nov 2026
Open live market →
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 224.5100%
O/U 222.5100%
O/U 220.5100%
O/U 218.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 216.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 214.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 212.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
O/U 210.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
O/U 208.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
O/U 206.5100%
O/U 204.5100%
O/U 202.5100%
O/U 200.5100%
O/U 198.5100%
O/U 196.5100%
O/U 225.5100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 8.5100%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 9.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 2.5100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 9.5100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5100%
Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 4.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 4.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 9.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: Points O/U 4.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: Points O/U 9.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: Points O/U 14.5100%
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 9.5100%
Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 1.5100%
Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 2.5100%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 7.5100%
Team to Score First100%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5100%
Race to 20100%
Race to 30100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q O/U 55.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q O/U 58.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 112.5100%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 54.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 53.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q O/U 56.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 110.5100%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 52.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1Q O/U 57.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q O/U 60.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 114.5100%
1H O/U 105.5100%
1Q O/U 51.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 113.5100%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 55.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 54.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 108.5100%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 50.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 59.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 62.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 116.5100%
1H O/U 103.5100%
1Q O/U 49.5100%
3Q O/U 52.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 106.5100%
Thunder O/U 107.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
3Q O/U 64.5100%
1H O/U 101.5100%
1Q O/U 47.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 104.5100%
Thunder O/U 105.5100%
1H O/U 99.5100%
1Q O/U 45.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 102.5100%
Thunder O/U 103.5100%
1H O/U 97.5100%
1Q O/U 43.5100%
Trail Blazers O/U 100.5100%
Thunder O/U 101.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 3.5100%
1H O/U 95.5100%
1H O/U 93.5100%
Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5100%
Aday Mara: Points O/U 4.5100%
Aday Mara: Points O/U 9.5100%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q O/U 56.5100%
3Q O/U 57.5100%
Alex Caruso: Points O/U 4.5100%
Alex Caruso: Points O/U 9.5100%
Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 4.5100%
Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 4.5100%
Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 2.5100%
Deni Avdija: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Deni Avdija: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 56.5100%
Thunder 2H O/U 55.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 54.5100%
Thunder 2H O/U 53.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 58.5100%
Thunder 2H O/U 57.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 52.5100%
Thunder 2H O/U 51.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 60.5100%
Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Trail Blazers 2H O/U 57.5100%
Sidy Cissoko: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers0%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -1.50%
O/U 226.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
O/U 228.50%
Spread -6.50%
O/U 230.50%
Spread -7.50%
O/U 232.50%
Spread -8.50%
O/U 234.50%
Spread -10.50%
O/U 236.50%
Spread -12.50%
O/U 238.50%
Spread -14.50%
O/U 240.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -11.50%
O/U 242.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -13.50%
O/U 244.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -15.50%
O/U 246.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -17.50%
O/U 248.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -19.50%
O/U 250.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -21.50%
O/U 252.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -25.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 33.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 18.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 12.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.50%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.50%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 24.50%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 29.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Damian Lillard: Points O/U 34.50%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.50%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.50%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.50%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 39.50%
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.50%
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.50%
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 19.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.50%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 14.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 49.50%
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 14.50%
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 19.50%
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 24.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 17.50%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.50%
Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 3.50%
Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.50%
Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 7.50%
Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 9.50%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.50%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 11.50%
Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 3.50%
Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.50%
Kenrich Williams: Assists O/U 3.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Assists O/U 1.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Assists O/U 3.50%
Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 3.50%
Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.50%
Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 1.50%
Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 2.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.50%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 1.50%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 2.50%
Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Odd/Even Score0%
Overtime?0%
Race to 100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.50%
Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 5.50%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Assists O/U 5.50%
Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 109.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q O/U 54.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q O/U 56.50%
Thunder O/U 113.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 55.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H O/U 107.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q O/U 52.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q O/U 54.50%
Thunder O/U 111.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 53.50%
1H O/U 111.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
2Q O/U 56.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
4Q O/U 58.50%
Thunder O/U 115.50%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 56.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 57.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q O/U 50.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 19.50%
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 24.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
Thunder O/U 109.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 51.50%
1H O/U 113.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 58.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
Thunder O/U 117.50%
Trail Blazers 1H O/U 58.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 59.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
1H O/U 115.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q O/U 61.50%
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Trail Blazers O/U 118.50%
Thunder O/U 119.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H O/U 117.50%
1Q O/U 63.50%
Trail Blazers O/U 120.50%
Thunder O/U 121.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H O/U 119.50%
1Q O/U 65.50%
Trail Blazers O/U 122.50%
Thunder O/U 123.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H O/U 121.50%
1Q O/U 67.50%
Trail Blazers O/U 124.50%
Thunder O/U 125.50%
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.50%
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 7.50%
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 9.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H O/U 123.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H O/U 125.50%
Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
1H Spread -18.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
1H O/U 110.50%
Thunder O/U 112.50%
Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 2.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 13.50%
Aday Mara: Points O/U 14.50%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 9.50%
Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 53.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
4Q O/U 55.50%
Thunder 1H O/U 54.50%
Jared McCain: Points O/U 15.50%
Alex Caruso: Points O/U 14.50%
Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 9.50%
Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 14.50%
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 3.50%
Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 5.50%
Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Aday Mara: Points O/U 19.50%
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 9.50%
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.50%
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 19.50%
Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 5.50%
Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 3.50%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 4.50%
Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 5.50%
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 19.50%
Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Thunder 2H O/U 59.50%
Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Steals O/U 0.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Steals O/U 1.50%
Sidy Cissoko: Steals O/U 2.50%
Jared McCain: Assists O/U 5.50%
Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Thunder vs. Trail Blazers. In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Trail Blazers, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Thund…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 224.5 at 100% for "Thunder vs. Trail Blazers".

O/U 224.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.1M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Thunder vs. Trail Blazers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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