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Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

"Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) 100% Volume: $243K Liquidity: $305K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.591%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.591%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)50%
Match Winner13%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 3 match between Team Envy and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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