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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

Snapshot for "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $296K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: sparta vs mouz nxt (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #4 group c. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SPARTA and MOUZ NXT in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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