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Wisconsin vs. UCLA

"Wisconsin vs. UCLA" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

1H Spread -0.5 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $389K Liquidity: $574K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Wisconsin vs. UCLA

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
Spread -0.576%
Spread -1.569%
Spread -2.564%
4Q Spread -2.558%
Spread -3.554%
Spread -4.553%
4Q O/U 10.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -5.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin O/U 26.550%
Wisconsin O/U 29.550%
Wisconsin O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 26.550%
UCLA O/U 29.550%
UCLA O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 35.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 12.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Wisconsin O/U 2.550%
UCLA O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
O/U 35.546%
Spread -6.545%
Spread -8.545%
3Q O/U 10.545%
3Q O/U 13.540%
Spread -7.534%
O/U 37.532%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA31%
4Q O/U 16.531%
O/U 39.530%
Spread -1.528%
UCLA O/U 23.528%
4Q Spread -3.528%
Spread -2.526%
O/U 47.523%
O/U 51.523%
O/U 53.523%
O/U 57.522%
O/U 59.522%
4Q O/U 19.521%
Spread -10.520%
Spread -13.520%
Wisconsin O/U 20.520%
3Q Spread -2.520%
Spread -3.519%
Spread -14.516%
O/U 41.516%
O/U 43.516%
Wisconsin O/U 23.515%
Spread -17.514%
Spread -4.513%
3Q O/U 16.513%
Spread -6.512%
Spread -16.512%
3Q Spread -3.512%
3Q O/U 19.511%
Spread -5.510%
O/U 45.59%
Spread -7.58%
Spread -20.57%
O/U 49.56%
Spread -10.55%
Spread -13.54%
O/U 55.54%
Spread -16.53%
Spread -14.53%
O/U 61.53%
Spread -17.52%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 12.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 14.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wisconsin vs. ucla. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Wisconsin vs. UCLA".

1H Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $389K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Wisconsin vs. UCLA. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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