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Florida vs. Texas

Snapshot for "Florida vs. Texas": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

1H O/U 24.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $239K Liquidity: $660K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Florida vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 24.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 12.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 14.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
O/U 35.592%
O/U 37.592%
Spread -0.590%
O/U 39.590%
Spread -1.584%
Spread -2.584%
Texas O/U 23.584%
O/U 41.580%
O/U 43.580%
Spread -3.578%
1H Spread -6.577%
1H O/U 21.576%
Spread -4.575%
Spread -5.574%
Spread -6.572%
O/U 45.572%
4Q O/U 7.571%
O/U 47.567%
Spread -7.560%
3Q O/U 7.560%
Spread -8.559%
O/U 49.559%
4Q O/U 10.557%
4Q Spread -2.554%
Spread -10.553%
2Q O/U 13.553%
Texas O/U 26.551%
Texas 2H O/U 14.551%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.551%
3Q Spread -0.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
Florida O/U 20.550%
Florida O/U 23.550%
Florida O/U 26.550%
Florida O/U 29.550%
Florida O/U 32.550%
Texas O/U 29.550%
Texas O/U 32.550%
Texas O/U 35.550%
Florida 2H O/U 11.550%
Florida 2H O/U 13.550%
Florida 2H O/U 15.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Florida vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Florida O/U 2.550%
Texas O/U 3.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.549%
4Q Spread -3.548%
O/U 51.547%
1H Moneyline47%
3Q O/U 10.546%
Spread -13.545%
O/U 53.544%
3Q Spread -3.543%
3Q O/U 13.539%
Spread -14.536%
Spread -16.534%
4Q O/U 16.532%
O/U 55.531%
Spread -17.528%
O/U 57.526%
O/U 73.525%
1H Spread -7.524%
Spread -20.523%
3Q O/U 16.523%
4Q O/U 19.523%
O/U 59.520%
O/U 61.520%
3Q O/U 19.516%
O/U 63.514%
Florida vs. Texas13%
O/U 65.512%
Spread -2.511%
Spread -1.511%
O/U 71.511%
O/U 67.510%
Spread -3.58%
Spread -4.56%
O/U 69.56%
Spread -6.55%
Spread -5.54%
O/U 75.53%
Spread -7.52%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Florida 1H O/U 11.50%
Florida 1H O/U 13.50%
Florida 1H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The Florida vs. Texas prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Texas, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Tex…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 24.5 at 100% for "Florida vs. Texas".

1H O/U 24.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $239K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Florida vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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