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UNLV vs. Air Force

Snapshot for "UNLV vs. Air Force": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

1H O/U 21.5 100% 1H O/U 24.5 100% 1H O/U 27.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% Volume: $785K Liquidity: $751K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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UNLV vs. Air Force

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
UNLV 1H O/U 11.5100%
UNLV 1H O/U 13.5100%
UNLV 1H O/U 15.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
O/U 35.593%
O/U 39.591%
UNLV O/U 20.587%
O/U 37.582%
O/U 41.581%
UNLV O/U 23.580%
O/U 43.579%
O/U 45.578%
O/U 47.574%
O/U 49.568%
Air Force O/U 23.561%
O/U 51.557%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q253%
2Q Spread -1.553%
2Q Moneyline53%
O/U 53.551%
4Q O/U 19.551%
Air Force O/U 26.551%
UNLV 2H O/U 15.551%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
4Q Spread -3.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -20.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
UNLV O/U 29.550%
UNLV O/U 32.550%
Air Force O/U 29.550%
Air Force O/U 32.550%
Air Force O/U 35.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 11.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 13.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 14.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Air Force O/U 2.550%
UNLV O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
UNLV O/U 3.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force49%
Spread -1.549%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.549%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.549%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.549%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 19.549%
Air Force 1H O/U 16.547%
2Q Spread -0.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
2Q Spread -2.547%
2Q Spread -3.547%
2Q Spread -5.547%
Spread -2.545%
Spread -1.544%
Spread -2.543%
UNLV O/U 26.542%
O/U 59.541%
O/U 57.539%
Spread -3.538%
O/U 55.537%
O/U 61.535%
Spread -3.533%
Spread -8.532%
O/U 65.531%
O/U 67.530%
Spread -4.528%
Spread -5.527%
Spread -5.527%
Spread -8.527%
O/U 73.527%
Spread -4.526%
O/U 75.526%
1H Spread -0.525%
1H Spread -1.525%
Spread -6.524%
Spread -6.524%
Spread -7.520%
O/U 63.520%
Spread -7.519%
Spread -10.514%
O/U 69.514%
O/U 71.514%
Spread -16.512%
Spread -13.510%
Spread -14.59%
Spread -10.59%
Spread -13.58%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -14.55%
Spread -16.55%
Spread -20.54%
Spread -17.53%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.51%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of unlv vs. air force. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will r…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 21.5 at 100% for "UNLV vs. Air Force".

1H O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $785K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for UNLV vs. Air Force. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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