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UCLA vs. Oregon

Snapshot for "UCLA vs. Oregon": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

UCLA vs. Oregon 100% Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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UCLA vs. Oregon

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
UCLA vs. Oregon100%
Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 8.5100%
4Q O/U 8.5100%
4Q O/U 11.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
UCLA 1H O/U 9.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
4Q Spread -1.599%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q456%
4Q Spread -0.553%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Oregon O/U 4.550%
UCLA O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.549%
2H Spread -5.547%
2H O/U 26.547%
2H O/U 29.547%
2H O/U 32.547%
2H O/U 35.547%
4Q Spread -4.547%
4Q Spread -5.547%
4Q O/U 17.547%
UCLA 2H O/U 9.547%
UCLA 2H O/U 11.547%
UCLA 2H O/U 13.547%
Oregon 2H O/U 15.547%
Oregon 2H O/U 17.547%
Oregon 2H O/U 19.547%
2H Spread -6.546%
2H O/U 23.546%
Game Goes to Overtime46%
4Q Spread -1.545%
2H Moneyline45%
4Q Moneyline45%
O/U 66.51%
2H Spread -2.51%
2H Spread -4.51%
2H Spread -7.51%
2H Spread -9.51%
4Q Spread -2.51%
4Q Spread -3.51%
4Q Spread -7.51%
4Q O/U 20.51%
UCLA O/U 29.51%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -32.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
O/U 72.50%
O/U 74.50%
O/U 76.50%
O/U 78.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H O/U 23.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q O/U 11.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
1Q O/U 17.50%
1Q O/U 20.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q O/U 8.50%
2Q O/U 11.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 17.50%
2Q O/U 20.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q O/U 8.50%
3Q O/U 11.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 17.50%
3Q O/U 20.50%
UCLA O/U 17.50%
UCLA O/U 20.50%
UCLA O/U 23.50%
UCLA O/U 26.50%
Oregon O/U 29.50%
Oregon O/U 32.50%
Oregon O/U 35.50%
Oregon O/U 38.50%
Oregon O/U 41.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 11.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 13.50%
Oregon 1H O/U 15.50%
Oregon 1H O/U 17.50%
Oregon 1H O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The UCLA vs. Oregon prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Oregon, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if O…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices UCLA vs. Oregon at 100% for "UCLA vs. Oregon".

UCLA vs. Oregon 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for UCLA vs. Oregon. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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