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Troy vs. Louisiana

Snapshot for "Troy vs. Louisiana": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

2Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 10.5 100% Louisiana 1H O/U 12.5 100% Louisiana 1H O/U 14.5 100% Volume: $300K Liquidity: $426K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Troy vs. Louisiana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
Louisiana 1H O/U 12.5100%
Louisiana 1H O/U 14.5100%
Louisiana 1H O/U 16.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
Spread -1.597%
Spread -2.596%
Spread -3.596%
Spread -4.596%
Spread -0.595%
Spread -5.595%
O/U 35.591%
Spread -6.590%
O/U 37.588%
Spread -7.587%
Spread -8.587%
Spread -10.575%
Spread -13.570%
O/U 39.570%
Spread -14.565%
O/U 41.565%
Spread -16.559%
O/U 43.559%
Spread -17.556%
3Q O/U 7.553%
3Q O/U 10.553%
Louisiana O/U 23.553%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 45.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Troy O/U 29.550%
Troy O/U 32.550%
Louisiana O/U 26.550%
Louisiana O/U 29.550%
Louisiana O/U 32.550%
Louisiana O/U 35.550%
Troy 2H O/U 11.550%
Troy 2H O/U 13.550%
Troy 2H O/U 15.550%
Louisiana 2H O/U 12.550%
Louisiana 2H O/U 14.550%
Louisiana 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Louisiana O/U 3.550%
Troy O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -20.535%
O/U 47.535%
O/U 49.528%
O/U 57.526%
O/U 59.526%
O/U 63.526%
O/U 51.525%
O/U 53.516%
Troy O/U 26.515%
Troy O/U 20.514%
Spread -2.510%
O/U 55.510%
Troy O/U 23.58%
Spread -16.55%
O/U 65.55%
Spread -10.54%
Spread -4.54%
Spread -1.54%
O/U 61.54%
Spread -14.53%
Spread -7.53%
Spread -5.53%
Spread -3.53%
Troy vs. Louisiana2%
Spread -17.52%
Spread -13.52%
Spread -6.52%
O/U 67.52%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Troy 1H O/U 11.50%
Troy 1H O/U 13.50%
Troy 1H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Troy vs. Louisiana — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Louisiana, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisiana…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 2Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Troy vs. Louisiana".

2Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $300K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Troy vs. Louisiana. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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