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Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

How the prediction markets are pricing "Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 35.5 100% 1H O/U 21.5 100% 1H O/U 24.5 100% 1H O/U 27.5 100% Volume: $620K Liquidity: $500K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
Toledo O/U 20.5100%
Toledo O/U 23.5100%
Toledo 1H O/U 11.5100%
Toledo 1H O/U 13.5100%
Toledo 1H O/U 15.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan99%
Spread -5.598%
Spread -4.598%
Spread -3.598%
Spread -2.598%
Spread -1.598%
O/U 41.598%
Spread -0.597%
O/U 37.597%
Spread -7.596%
Spread -6.596%
Spread -8.595%
Spread -10.594%
O/U 47.594%
O/U 49.593%
Spread -13.592%
Spread -14.590%
O/U 51.588%
Spread -16.587%
Spread -17.584%
O/U 53.584%
O/U 43.583%
O/U 45.582%
O/U 39.581%
Spread -20.578%
1H Spread -4.577%
1H Spread -7.576%
1H Spread -5.576%
1H Spread -3.576%
1H Spread -2.576%
1H Spread -0.576%
O/U 55.575%
O/U 57.568%
O/U 59.561%
O/U 61.555%
O/U 63.553%
Toledo O/U 26.553%
Toledo O/U 29.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q253%
2Q Spread -5.553%
2Q Spread -3.553%
2Q Spread -2.553%
2Q Spread -1.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
1H Moneyline53%
2Q Moneyline53%
2H Spread -2.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -20.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Toledo O/U 32.550%
Eastern Michigan O/U 26.550%
Eastern Michigan O/U 29.550%
Eastern Michigan O/U 32.550%
Eastern Michigan O/U 35.550%
Toledo 2H O/U 11.550%
Toledo 2H O/U 13.550%
Toledo 2H O/U 15.550%
Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 12.550%
Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 14.550%
Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Eastern Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Eastern Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Eastern Michigan O/U 2.550%
Toledo O/U 3.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.549%
Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.549%
Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.549%
Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 12.547%
Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 14.547%
Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 16.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
O/U 65.543%
O/U 67.536%
O/U 69.534%
O/U 71.524%
Eastern Michigan O/U 23.522%
O/U 73.520%
O/U 75.517%
Spread -1.52%
Spread -2.51%
Spread -3.51%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of toledo vs. eastern michigan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Eastern Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 100% for "Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan".

O/U 35.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $620K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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