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North Carolina vs. Duke

Snapshot for "North Carolina vs. Duke": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

1H O/U 21.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $207K Liquidity: $915K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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North Carolina vs. Duke

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 21.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 13.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 15.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 35.588%
O/U 37.588%
Spread -0.584%
O/U 39.580%
1H Spread -1.576%
North Carolina vs. Duke75%
North Carolina O/U 20.575%
Spread -1.574%
4Q O/U 7.574%
North Carolina O/U 23.571%
Spread -2.569%
O/U 41.568%
O/U 43.567%
Spread -4.558%
4Q O/U 10.558%
Spread -3.557%
Spread -5.556%
Spread -0.556%
O/U 45.556%
3Q O/U 7.554%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q253%
1H Moneyline53%
Spread -6.551%
O/U 47.551%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.551%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
North Carolina O/U 26.550%
North Carolina O/U 32.550%
Duke O/U 26.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
Duke O/U 32.550%
Duke O/U 35.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 11.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 13.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 15.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 3.550%
North Carolina O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 2.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 21.549%
3Q Spread -2.548%
2Q O/U 19.547%
Duke 1H O/U 12.547%
Duke 1H O/U 14.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
2Q Spread -0.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
2Q Spread -3.547%
2Q Spread -5.547%
2Q Spread -2.546%
2Q O/U 16.545%
Spread -7.543%
O/U 49.543%
Spread -8.541%
North Carolina O/U 29.540%
3Q O/U 10.538%
Duke O/U 23.536%
O/U 51.535%
3Q O/U 13.535%
Spread -10.534%
4Q O/U 16.534%
O/U 53.529%
O/U 55.528%
Spread -13.525%
O/U 75.525%
1H O/U 24.525%
1H O/U 27.525%
1H Spread -0.525%
1H Spread -3.525%
1H Spread -5.525%
1H O/U 30.524%
4Q O/U 19.524%
1H Spread -2.522%
Spread -14.520%
Spread -1.520%
Spread -2.520%
O/U 57.519%
Spread -16.518%
3Q O/U 16.517%
Spread -3.516%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 59.514%
O/U 61.513%
Spread -4.512%
Spread -5.511%
3Q O/U 19.511%
Spread -20.510%
Spread -6.510%
O/U 63.59%
O/U 67.58%
Spread -7.57%
O/U 65.57%
Spread -8.56%
O/U 69.55%
O/U 71.55%
O/U 73.55%
Spread -10.54%
Spread -13.52%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -20.51%
1H O/U 33.51%
Duke 1H O/U 16.51%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of north carolina vs. duke. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Duke, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 21.5 at 100% for "North Carolina vs. Duke".

1H O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $207K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for North Carolina vs. Duke. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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