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Arizona State vs. Texas Tech

"Arizona State vs. Texas Tech" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Spread -4.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% O/U 37.5 100% O/U 39.5 100% Volume: $403K Liquidity: $573K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Arizona State vs. Texas Tech

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
1Q O/U 19.5100%
Texas Tech O/U 23.5100%
Texas Tech O/U 26.5100%
Texas Tech O/U 29.5100%
Texas Tech 1H O/U 12.5100%
Texas Tech 1H O/U 14.5100%
Texas Tech 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
Spread -5.599%
Spread -9.599%
Spread -1.598%
Spread -2.598%
Spread -6.598%
Spread -7.598%
Spread -10.598%
Spread -14.598%
O/U 51.598%
O/U 55.598%
Spread -11.598%
Spread -13.597%
Spread -3.595%
Spread -16.595%
Spread -17.595%
Spread -20.592%
O/U 61.591%
Spread -21.591%
1H Spread -4.589%
1H Spread -7.589%
2Q Spread -2.589%
2Q Spread -3.589%
1H Spread -6.588%
Spread -24.586%
O/U 53.583%
2Q Spread -7.582%
O/U 57.581%
Spread -27.581%
O/U 59.580%
O/U 63.576%
1H O/U 33.576%
O/U 67.571%
O/U 65.570%
Spread -30.570%
Spread -28.564%
2Q Spread -4.564%
3Q O/U 7.563%
4Q O/U 7.563%
O/U 69.562%
2Q O/U 7.560%
2Q O/U 13.557%
2Q O/U 10.556%
Spread -31.555%
2Q O/U 16.554%
3Q Spread -2.554%
2Q O/U 19.553%
Texas Tech O/U 32.553%
Texas Tech O/U 35.553%
4Q Spread -2.553%
O/U 71.551%
Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
1H Spread -9.551%
2H Spread -4.551%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -14.550%
Spread -13.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Arizona State O/U 20.550%
Arizona State O/U 23.550%
Arizona State O/U 26.550%
Arizona State O/U 29.550%
Arizona State O/U 32.550%
Arizona State 1H O/U 11.550%
Arizona State 1H O/U 13.550%
Arizona State 1H O/U 15.550%
Arizona State 2H O/U 11.550%
Arizona State 2H O/U 13.550%
Arizona State 2H O/U 15.550%
Texas Tech 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.550%
Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Arizona State O/U 1.550%
Texas Tech O/U 3.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Arizona State O/U 2.550%
Texas Tech O/U 4.550%
Spread -20.549%
Spread -0.549%
2H O/U 21.549%
4Q O/U 10.549%
Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.549%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.549%
Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.549%
Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
Spread -34.548%
3Q Spread -3.548%
4Q O/U 13.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
O/U 73.546%
O/U 75.546%
3Q O/U 10.545%
3Q O/U 13.545%
Spread -3.532%
4Q Spread -7.528%
4Q O/U 16.525%
3Q O/U 16.524%
3Q Spread -7.520%
4Q O/U 19.519%
Spread -6.518%
3Q O/U 19.514%
Spread -5.56%
Spread -7.55%
1H Moneyline3%
Spread -4.52%
Spread -1.52%
Spread -2.51%
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech0%
Spread -10.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, arizona state vs. texas tech stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -4.5 at 100% for "Arizona State vs. Texas Tech".

Spread -4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $403K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Arizona State vs. Texas Tech. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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