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Who will Trump meet with in September?

"Who will Trump meet with in September?" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Xi Jinping 100% Elon Musk 100% Andy Burnham 100% Volume: $315K Liquidity: $468K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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Who will Trump meet with in September?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Volodymyr Zelenskyy100%
Xi Jinping100%
Elon Musk100%
Andy Burnham100%
Javier Milei100%
Sam Altman46%
Dario Amodei46%
Keir Starmer1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1%
Mark Carney1%
Kim Jong Un0%
Mohammed bin Salman0%
Vladimir Putin0%
Giorgia Meloni0%
Benjamin Netanyahu0%
Joseph Aoun0%
Miguel Díaz-Canel0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, who will trump meet with in september? stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Who will Trump meet with in September?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
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Trade Who will Trump meet with in September? on Oscar Predictions 2026

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