Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 93% |
| Rams O/U 12.5 | 93% |
| Rams O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| Rams O/U 13.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Raiders O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Raiders O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Rams O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 88% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 87% |
| Raiders O/U 13.5 | 87% |
| O/U 36.5 | 85% |
| Rams O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 38.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| O/U 40.5 | 74% |
| Raiders O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| Rams O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| Rams 1H O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| Rams vs. Raiders | 65% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| O/U 44.5 | 63% |
| Raiders O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Rams O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 59% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 57% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Raiders O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| Rams 1H O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Rams 1H O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| Rams 2H O/U 6.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Rams 2H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Rams 2H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Rams O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| Rams 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Safety? | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 47% |
| Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Raiders 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 46% |
| Rams 2H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| O/U 50.5 | 44% |
| Rams 2H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Rams 2H O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Rams O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| Raiders O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Rams 2H O/U 20.5 | 43% |
| Rams vs. Raiders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 42% |
| Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-6 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 52.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Rams 1H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 17.5 | 38% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 38% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| O/U 54.5 | 35% |
| Rams 1H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Rams O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| Rams 1H O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 31% |
| Raiders O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Rams 1H O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| Raiders 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Raiders O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 58.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 62.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Raiders O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Rams O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Raiders O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of rams vs. raiders. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Rams and Raiders, scheduled for October 25 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game. This market will resolve…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $277K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for Rams vs. Raiders. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do award markets resolve?
- After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
- How accurate are award predictions?
- Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
- What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
- Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
- Who can trade Eurovision markets?
- Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
- Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
- Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23f472b6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23f472b6%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Rams vs. Raiders on Oscar Predictions 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →