Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 193.5 | 95% |
| O/U 191.5 | 94% |
| O/U 195.5 | 93% |
| O/U 197.5 | 92% |
| O/U 199.5 | 88% |
| Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| O/U 201.5 | 86% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 84% |
| O/U 203.5 | 83% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| O/U 205.5 | 80% |
| Spread -6.5 | 79% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 79% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 207.5 | 77% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 74% |
| O/U 209.5 | 73% |
| Spread -8.5 | 73% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -9.5 | 70% |
| O/U 211.5 | 69% |
| Spread -10.5 | 67% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Spread -11.5 | 66% |
| O/U 213.5 | 65% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Spread -12.5 | 63% |
| O/U 215.5 | 61% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 59% |
| Spread -13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 217.5 | 56% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Spread -14.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 219.5 | 52% |
| Spread -15.5 | 52% |
| O/U 220.5 | 51% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| O/U 221.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -17.5 | 45% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 223.5 | 44% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -18.5 | 41% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Spread -19.5 | 39% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 225.5 | 38% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -20.5 | 36% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 227.5 | 34% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 8.5 | 34% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| O/U 229.5 | 31% |
| Spread -22.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 30% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 231.5 | 27% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 26% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Andre Drummond: Points O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 25% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 21.5 | 25% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 | 24% |
| O/U 233.5 | 23% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -26.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 235.5 | 20% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 237.5 | 17% |
| Spread -28.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| O/U 239.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -30.5 | 13% |
| O/U 241.5 | 13% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | 10% |
| Spread -32.5 | 10% |
| O/U 243.5 | 10% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -36.5 | 9% |
| Spread -42.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| O/U 245.5 | 8% |
| Spread -38.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| Spread -40.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| O/U 247.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to bucks vs. knicks. In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Knicks, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for Bucks vs. Knicks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- How accurate are award predictions?
- Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
- What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
- Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
- Who can trade Eurovision markets?
- Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
- Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
- Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
- Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
- Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
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Trade Bucks vs. Knicks on Oscar Predictions 2026
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