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Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

How the prediction markets are pricing "Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5) 100% Volume: $600K Liquidity: $21K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs JD Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs JD Gaming (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs JD Gaming (+8.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs JD Gaming (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs JD Gaming (+11.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-10.5) vs JD Gaming (+10.5)100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)77%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: JD Gaming (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)43%
Map 2 Winner24%
Match Winner8%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: jd gaming vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a. This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gami…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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