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Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

How the prediction markets are pricing "Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $58K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: detonation focusme vs qt dig∞ (bo3) - vct pacific play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between DetonatioN FocusMe and QT DIG∞ in the VCT Pacific Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
and

Trade Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT … on Oscar Predictions 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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