🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

"Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Match Winner 70% O/U 3.5 Games 69% Map 1 Winner 64% Map 3 Winner 63% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $354K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner70%
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Map 1 Winner64%
Map 3 Winner63%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Winner60%
Map 4 Winner55%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)49%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)45%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)24%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to valorant: 100 thieves vs loud (bo5) - vct americas stage 2 playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between 100 Thieves and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas S… on Oscar Predictions 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Oscar Predictions 2026.

See all markets →