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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

How the prediction markets are pricing "SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC 35% SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC 30% SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC 29% SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC 25% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $26K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
35% 65% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
35% 65% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC35%
SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC30%
SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC29%
SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC25%
SSC Napoli 2 - 3 Arsenal FC25%
SSC Napoli 0 - 2 Arsenal FC11%
SSC Napoli 1 - 0 Arsenal FC10%
SSC Napoli 1 - 1 Arsenal FC8%
SSC Napoli 1 - 2 Arsenal FC3%
SSC Napoli 1 - 3 Arsenal FC3%
SSC Napoli 2 - 0 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 0 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 2 - 1 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
Any Other Score1%
SSC Napoli 2 - 2 Arsenal FC0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 35% YES probability for SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score. In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SSC Napoli and Arsenal FC, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SSC Napoli vs. Ars…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
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Trade SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score on Oscar Predictions 2026

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Related Topics

Sports