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LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

How the prediction markets are pricing "LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Volume: $69K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Valerion and Skillcamp Esport in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
and

Trade LoL: Valerion vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Maste… on Oscar Predictions 2026

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