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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

"LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) 67% Volume: $130K Liquidity: $432K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
O/U 3.5 Games63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Game 4 Winner39%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Game 2 Winner34%
First Blood in Game 2?33%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?33%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner33%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner19%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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