Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 25 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, Curaçao faces Côte d'Ivoire in a FIFA World Cup Group E match where the final score after 90 minutes determines the outcome of this prediction market. The crowd-implied probability of 9% for an exact listed score reflects the high uncertainty typical of encounters between a debutant Caribbean nation and Africa’s most consistent World Cup scorer, who has found the net in 91% of their tournament history[6].

Comparable cases in sports betting show that exact-score markets often carry low probabilities when one side is a historic underperformer and the other a statistical outlier, much like Eurovision’s 50/50 jury-televote split where public sentiment diverges sharply from expert panels[1]. Curaçao’s recent form—four of their last five games featuring over 3.5 goals and a late-conceding trend of 11 goals after half-time—adds volatility, while Côte d'Ivoire’s scoring consistency makes any exact score a rare event[2][6].

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding team line-ups, as both squads have released training footage ahead of the fixture, and watch for any schedule shifts due to weather or logistical delays[4][8]. Recent reports confirm Curaçao seeks its first World Cup win, a narrative that could influence betting volume if the team shows unexpected aggression, while Côte d'Ivoire’s preparation suggests a disciplined approach[5][6]. The settlement window ends 20:00 UTC on 25 June 2026, with the market remaining open if the match is postponed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.