Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying real-world event is the FIFA World Cup Group G match between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for 11:00 PM ET on 26 June at Seattle Stadium. Both nations still possess the opportunity to advance deep into the tournament by qualifying from Group G, with a draw appearing a sensible prediction given their equal capabilities[1]. The market currently prices the probability of "More Markets" at 17% YES, reflecting the low likelihood of extra time or additional fixtures beyond the standard ninety minutes.

Historical precedents in sports voting often mirror the 50/50 jury and televote split seen in Eurovision, where balanced outcomes are common, or the preferential ballot used for Oscars Best Picture, which favours consensus picks. In football, matches with high stakes and comparable team strengths frequently end in draws, as seen in recent World Cup qualifiers where tactical caution prevails[3]. This cultural narrative momentum suggests that the 17% probability aligns with the expectation of a decisive, regulation-time result rather than a prolonged contest requiring extra periods.

Traders should monitor the official line-ups and any pre-match injury announcements, as these dependencies directly influence the likelihood of extra time. Recent analysis highlights that the Over 2.5 goals market is a massive outsider, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair that reinforces the draw prediction[1]. With the settlement window ending on 27 June at 03:00 UTC, the primary catalyst is the match outcome itself; if the game remains level after ninety minutes plus extra time, the "More Markets" condition triggers, though current odds favour a regulation-time resolution[3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.