🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

How the prediction markets are pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 68% Game 1 Winner 62% Game 2 Winner 62% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner62%
Game 2 Winner62%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Any Player Rampage48%
Any Player Rampage48%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)39%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 68% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between Team Spirit and 1win in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spiri…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
and

Trade Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B on Oscar Predictions 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →