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Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B

Snapshot for "Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Game 1 Winner 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $606K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?99%
Match Winner92%
Game 2 Winner83%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Midas Club (+1.5)50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Game Handicap: Midas (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: rune eaters vs midas club (bo3) - games of the future group b. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Rune Eaters and Midas Club in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" i…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
and

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