T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The first T20 International between Ireland and India is taking place today at the Civil Service Cricket Club in Belfast, with India currently holding a 100% implied probability of victory in this prediction market. The match, part of a two-game series, began at 3:00 PM local time, and the outcome will be determined by the finalized result published on espncricinfo, including any Super Over if the game ends tied.

Historical precedents in cricket and other sports show that 100% crowd-implied probabilities are rare and often signal either a decisive mismatch or a market awaiting a formal declaration. For instance, Eurovision uses a 50/50 jury and televote split to prevent single-outcome dominance, while the Oscars employ preferential ballots to ensure nuanced outcomes. In cricket, India’s recent dominance in T20s against smaller nations, including a 34-run win in the first match of this series [2], supports the market’s confidence, though such certainty can shift if unforeseen on-field rulings or weather delays occur.

Traders should monitor official announcements from the BCCI and Cricket Ireland regarding player availability, pitch conditions, and any potential match delays due to weather, as these could impact the final result. The second T20I is scheduled for June 28 at the same venue [1], and any changes to the playing conditions or team compositions could influence the market’s trajectory. Recent coverage on Cricbuzz highlights live streaming availability and score updates, which traders can use to track real-time developments [5]. With the settlement window ending in July 2026, all on-field rulings, including DRS and over-rate penalties, will be treated as ordinary wins, reinforcing the market’s current certainty.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.