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UTSA vs. Texas State

"UTSA vs. Texas State" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

O/U 44.5 100% O/U 46.5 100% 1H Spread -0.5 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $203K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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UTSA vs. Texas State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Texas State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 15.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 14.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 16.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 15.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 8.5100%
3Q O/U 11.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 13.5100%
O/U 52.572%
O/U 62.551%
UTSA O/U 0.550%
UTSA O/U 1.550%
UTSA O/U 2.550%
UTSA O/U 3.550%
Texas State O/U 0.550%
Texas State O/U 1.550%
Texas State O/U 2.550%
Texas State O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -4.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -24.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 56.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 72.550%
O/U 74.550%
O/U 78.550%
O/U 80.550%
O/U 84.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
UTSA O/U 27.550%
UTSA O/U 30.550%
UTSA O/U 33.550%
UTSA O/U 36.550%
UTSA O/U 39.550%
Texas State O/U 28.550%
Texas State O/U 31.550%
Texas State O/U 34.550%
Texas State O/U 37.550%
Texas State O/U 40.550%
Texas State O/U 4.550%
UTSA O/U 4.550%
Texas State O/U 27.550%
Texas State O/U 30.550%
Texas State O/U 33.550%
Texas State O/U 36.550%
Texas State O/U 39.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 14.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 16.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 18.550%
UTSA 2H O/U 18.550%
UTSA O/U 25.550%
UTSA O/U 28.550%
UTSA O/U 31.550%
UTSA O/U 34.550%
UTSA O/U 37.550%
UTSA 2H O/U 17.550%
UTSA 2H O/U 19.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 15.550%
Texas State 2H O/U 17.550%
UTSA O/U 26.550%
UTSA O/U 29.550%
UTSA O/U 32.550%
UTSA O/U 35.550%
UTSA O/U 38.550%
Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown50%
David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown50%
DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown50%
T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown50%
Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 36.550%
2H O/U 39.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
4Q O/U 21.550%
4Q O/U 24.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 82.549%
Spread -2.548%
Spread -6.548%
Spread -4.548%
Spread -7.547%
Spread -1.546%
O/U 58.546%
O/U 76.545%
Spread -13.544%
O/U 70.544%
Spread -16.543%
O/U 63.542%
Spread -10.542%
Spread -5.541%
Spread -14.540%
Spread -9.540%
O/U 66.539%
Spread -11.539%
Spread -5.537%
Spread -14.535%
O/U 65.534%
O/U 64.533%
UTSA vs. Texas State23%
Spread -6.522%
Spread -2.518%
Spread -3.513%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
Texas State 1H O/U 18.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 17.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 12.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 14.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 16.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
1H O/U 38.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 17.50%
2Q O/U 20.50%
2Q O/U 23.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q O/U 17.50%
3Q O/U 20.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, utsa vs. texas state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 44.5 at 100% for "UTSA vs. Texas State".

O/U 44.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $104K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for UTSA vs. Texas State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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