Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Carolina State vs. Florida A&M | 98% |
| O/U 36.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| O/U 40.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 44.5 | 85% |
| Spread -19.5 | 82% |
| O/U 48.5 | 76% |
| O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| Spread -31.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -27.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| O/U 64.5 | 19% |
| O/U 68.5 | 16% |
| O/U 72.5 | 13% |
| O/U 76.5 | 13% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 98% probability to south carolina state vs. florida a&m. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 3:00PM ET: If South Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "South Carolina State". If Florida A&M wins, the market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $81K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for South Carolina State vs. Florida A&M. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Which entertainment markets are available?
- Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
- When do award markets resolve?
- After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
- How accurate are award predictions?
- Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
- Who can trade Eurovision markets?
- Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
- How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
- UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Trade South Carolina State vs. Florida A&M on Oscar Predictions 2026
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