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North Dakota State vs. Air Force

Snapshot for "North Dakota State vs. Air Force": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

O/U 47.5 100% O/U 46.5 100% O/U 28.5 100% O/U 30.5 100% Volume: $219K Liquidity: $399K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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North Dakota State vs. Air Force

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
North Dakota State O/U 18.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 21.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 24.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 27.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 11.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 13.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 15.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 8.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 10.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 10.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 2.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 9.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 11.5100%
O/U 44.598%
North Dakota State vs. Air Force97%
O/U 49.597%
O/U 50.597%
O/U 52.597%
Spread -1.596%
North Dakota State O/U 30.596%
O/U 48.595%
Spread -2.595%
Spread -3.594%
Spread -5.593%
Spread -6.592%
Spread -4.592%
Spread -7.592%
O/U 56.591%
3Q O/U 3.591%
3Q O/U 6.591%
3Q Moneyline90%
Spread -9.586%
Spread -10.584%
Spread -13.580%
O/U 62.577%
Spread -14.574%
2H Spread -1.570%
Spread -16.566%
Air Force O/U 23.566%
Spread -17.562%
Air Force O/U 20.561%
O/U 68.556%
Spread -20.555%
Spread -0.551%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 66.550%
2H Moneyline50%
North Dakota State O/U 3.550%
Air Force O/U 2.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Air Force O/U 17.550%
Air Force O/U 26.550%
Air Force O/U 29.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 10.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 14.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 11.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 13.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 15.550%
North Dakota State O/U 2.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
DJ Scott: Anytime Touchdown50%
Liam Szarka: Anytime Touchdown50%
Myles Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Owen Allen: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rocco Conti: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mekhi Collins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nathan Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kemper Hodges: Anytime Touchdown50%
Reis Kessel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jackson Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keegan Sack: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Long: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Kiel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonah Dawson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Gage LaDue: Anytime Touchdown50%
Luke Rauh: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isiah St. Romain: Anytime Touchdown50%
Logan Conklin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Air Force 2H O/U 8.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 10.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.550%
Spread -24.535%
Spread -27.527%
Spread -11.55%
Spread -2.53%
Spread -3.53%
Spread -4.53%
Spread -5.53%
Spread -1.52%
Spread -6.52%
Spread -14.51%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 8.50%
1Q O/U 11.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 13.50%

Market context

North Dakota State vs. Air Force — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 47.5 at 100% for "North Dakota State vs. Air Force".

O/U 47.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $219K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for North Dakota State vs. Air Force. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade North Dakota State vs. Air Force on Oscar Predictions 2026

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