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Iowa State vs. Iowa

"Iowa State vs. Iowa" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

Iowa State O/U 7.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $277K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Iowa State vs. Iowa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iowa State O/U 7.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5100%
1H O/U 14.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 9.5100%
2Q O/U 12.5100%
2Q O/U 15.5100%
1H O/U 17.591%
2Q O/U 18.591%
O/U 27.577%
O/U 23.576%
O/U 25.576%
O/U 29.575%
Spread -1.574%
O/U 31.572%
O/U 33.570%
O/U 35.569%
Spread -2.563%
Spread -3.560%
O/U 37.559%
Spread -6.557%
O/U 21.555%
Spread -4.554%
O/U 39.554%
Spread -5.553%
O/U 42.551%
O/U 40.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Iowa State O/U 1.550%
Iowa O/U 3.550%
Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown50%
DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan James: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Iowa O/U 21.550%
Iowa O/U 24.550%
Iowa O/U 27.550%
Iowa O/U 30.550%
Iowa O/U 33.550%
Iowa State O/U 10.550%
Iowa State O/U 13.550%
Iowa State O/U 16.550%
Iowa State O/U 19.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown50%
Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown50%
Iowa 2H O/U 11.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 13.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 15.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 4.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 6.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 8.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 10.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 12.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 14.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -28.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 14.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 1.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q O/U 4.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
Spread -7.548%
O/U 41.544%
Spread -8.544%
Spread -20.542%
O/U 47.537%
Spread -12.536%
O/U 43.536%
O/U 49.534%
Spread -9.534%
Spread -16.532%
O/U 53.532%
Spread -15.532%
O/U 55.531%
Spread -3.531%
Spread: Iowa (-11.5)30%
Spread -10.530%
O/U 59.530%
O/U 61.530%
Spread -18.530%
O/U 45.528%
Spread -2.526%
Iowa State vs. Iowa24%
Spread -13.523%
Spread -14.517%
Spread -6.516%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 51.510%
1H Spread -5.510%
1H Spread -8.510%
2Q Spread -2.510%
2Q Spread -3.510%
2Q Spread -4.510%
2Q Spread -5.510%
2Q Spread -6.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 12.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 14.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 16.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 11.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 13.510%
Iowa 1H O/U 15.510%
1H Spread -11.510%
1H O/U 26.510%
2Q Spread -0.510%
2Q Spread -7.510%
2Q Spread -1.510%
O/U 57.59%
1H Spread -6.59%
1H Spread -7.59%
1H Spread -9.59%
1H Spread -4.59%
1H O/U 20.59%
1H O/U 23.59%
Spread -30.56%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -27.55%
Spread -24.54%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q O/U 1.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Iowa State vs. Iowa. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolv…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Iowa State O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Iowa State vs. Iowa".

Iowa State O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $121K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Iowa State vs. Iowa. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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