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Colgate vs. Central Michigan

Snapshot for "Colgate vs. Central Michigan": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% 1H Moneyline 100% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $54K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Colgate vs. Central Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
Colgate O/U 7.5100%
Colgate O/U 6.5100%
Colgate O/U 9.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 8.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q O/U 3.5100%
Colgate 1H O/U 4.5100%
Colgate 1H O/U 6.5100%
Colgate 1H O/U 8.5100%
Colgate O/U 8.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -3.591%
4Q Spread -4.591%
4Q Spread -5.591%
4Q Spread -6.591%
4Q Spread -1.591%
4Q Spread -2.591%
2H Spread -6.591%
2H Spread -8.591%
2H Spread -9.591%
2H Spread -10.591%
2H Spread -11.591%
4Q Spread -0.591%
4Q O/U 6.591%
Colgate O/U 0.550%
Colgate O/U 1.550%
Colgate O/U 2.550%
Colgate O/U 3.550%
Central Michigan O/U 0.550%
Central Michigan O/U 1.550%
Central Michigan O/U 2.550%
Central Michigan O/U 3.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -7.510%
4Q Moneyline10%
2H Spread -13.510%
2H O/U 18.510%
2H O/U 21.510%
2H O/U 24.510%
2H O/U 27.510%
2H O/U 30.510%
4Q O/U 9.510%
4Q O/U 12.510%
4Q O/U 15.510%
4Q O/U 18.510%
Colgate 2H O/U 4.510%
Colgate 2H O/U 6.510%
Colgate 2H O/U 8.510%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 15.510%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 17.510%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 19.510%
Colgate vs. Central Michigan1%
O/U 50.51%
Spread -3.51%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -5.51%
Spread -6.51%
Spread -7.51%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -20.51%
Spread -27.51%
Spread -31.51%
Spread -34.51%
O/U 30.51%
O/U 32.51%
O/U 34.51%
O/U 36.51%
O/U 38.51%
O/U 40.51%
O/U 42.51%
O/U 44.51%
O/U 46.51%
O/U 48.51%
O/U 52.51%
O/U 56.51%
O/U 58.51%
O/U 62.51%
O/U 64.51%
O/U 66.51%
O/U 68.51%
O/U 70.51%
2H Moneyline1%
Colgate O/U 10.51%
Colgate O/U 13.51%
Colgate O/U 16.51%
Colgate O/U 19.51%
Central Michigan O/U 31.51%
Central Michigan O/U 34.51%
Central Michigan O/U 37.51%
Central Michigan O/U 40.51%
Central Michigan O/U 43.51%
Central Michigan O/U 30.51%
Central Michigan O/U 33.51%
Central Michigan O/U 36.51%
Central Michigan O/U 39.51%
Central Michigan O/U 42.51%
Colgate O/U 12.51%
Colgate O/U 15.51%
Colgate O/U 18.51%
Central Michigan O/U 29.51%
Central Michigan O/U 32.51%
Central Michigan O/U 35.51%
Central Michigan O/U 38.51%
Central Michigan O/U 41.51%
Spread -11.51%
Spread -15.51%
Spread -18.51%
Spread -19.51%
Spread -22.51%
Spread -25.51%
Spread -28.51%
Spread -29.51%
Spread -32.51%
Spread -36.51%
Spread -39.51%
Spread -42.51%
Central Michigan O/U 28.51%
Colgate O/U 11.51%
Colgate O/U 14.51%
Colgate O/U 17.51%
Colgate O/U 20.51%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -21.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 49.50%
Spread -23.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
1H Spread -16.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -35.50%
Spread -38.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H O/U 20.50%
1H O/U 23.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q O/U 11.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 17.50%
2Q O/U 20.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q O/U 6.50%
3Q O/U 9.50%
3Q O/U 12.50%
3Q O/U 15.50%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 15.50%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 17.50%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 19.50%
1H Spread -9.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Colgate vs. Central Michigan. In the upcoming college football game between Colgate and Central Michigan, scheduled for September 12 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colgate" if Colgate win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Colgate vs. Central Michigan".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Colgate vs. Central Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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