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Buffalo vs. Florida International

How the prediction markets are pricing "Buffalo vs. Florida International" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 29.5 100% O/U 31.5 100% O/U 33.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% Volume: $92K Liquidity: $114K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Buffalo vs. Florida International

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
Florida International O/U 23.5100%
Florida International O/U 26.5100%
Florida International O/U 29.5100%
Buffalo O/U 11.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 12.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 14.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 16.5100%
Buffalo 1H O/U 5.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 13.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 15.5100%
Florida International 1H O/U 17.5100%
Buffalo 2H O/U 5.5100%
Buffalo 2H O/U 7.5100%
Florida International O/U 22.5100%
Florida International O/U 25.5100%
Florida International O/U 28.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 3.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 9.5100%
3Q O/U 12.5100%
3Q O/U 15.5100%
O/U 48.599%
O/U 45.591%
Florida International O/U 32.591%
Florida International O/U 31.591%
2H O/U 19.591%
O/U 47.563%
Spread -3.561%
O/U 53.561%
Spread -10.556%
Spread -4.555%
Spread -2.553%
Spread -6.553%
Spread -13.553%
Spread -9.553%
Spread -1.552%
O/U 51.551%
O/U 49.551%
Spread -5.551%
Spread -16.551%
Spread -17.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -14.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 55.550%
O/U 57.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Buffalo O/U 2.550%
Florida International O/U 3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Florida International O/U 35.550%
Buffalo O/U 14.550%
Buffalo O/U 17.550%
Buffalo O/U 20.550%
Buffalo O/U 23.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
Buffalo 2H O/U 9.550%
Florida International 2H O/U 11.550%
Florida International 2H O/U 13.550%
Florida International 2H O/U 15.550%
Anthony Carrie: Anytime Touchdown50%
Terrance Shelton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devonte Lyons: Anytime Touchdown50%
JJ Kohl: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle McNeal: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chance Morrow: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Holmes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Joseph: Anytime Touchdown50%
JoJo Stone: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jasaiah Gathings: Anytime Touchdown50%
Greg Gaines III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Maguire Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Resar: Anytime Touchdown50%
James McNeil Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Messiah Burch: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jackson Verdugo: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dwayne Early Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Patrick Clacks III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Clint Walker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Trevor Wilson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Florida International O/U 34.550%
Spread -10.550%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -6.550%
Spread -4.550%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -11.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -26.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 6.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
O/U 59.548%
Spread -20.546%
Spread -23.546%
Spread -21.544%
O/U 65.542%
Spread -27.539%
Spread -30.527%
Spread -24.520%
Buffalo vs. Florida International1%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
Buffalo 1H O/U 7.50%
Buffalo 1H O/U 9.50%
Buffalo 1H O/U 11.50%
Buffalo 1H O/U 6.50%
Buffalo 1H O/U 8.50%
Buffalo 1H O/U 10.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, buffalo vs. florida international stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Florida International, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 29.5 at 100% for "Buffalo vs. Florida International".

O/U 29.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Buffalo vs. Florida International. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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