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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Snapshot for "Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 90% Volume: $289K Liquidity: $158K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Match Winner57%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Any Player Ultra Kill5%
Any Player Rampage5%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: puckchamp vs nemiga gaming (bo3) - european pro league group a. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and Nemiga Gaming in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 1 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if …

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
and

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