Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 81% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 69% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| South Carolina O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 35.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| South Carolina O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| South Carolina O/U 32.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 45% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| South Carolina O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 63.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 75.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 88% chance of tennessee vs. south carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for Tennessee vs. South Carolina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do award markets resolve?
- After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
- How accurate are award predictions?
- Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
- What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
- Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
- Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
- Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
- Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
- Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
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