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South Florida vs. Bowling Green

Snapshot for "South Florida vs. Bowling Green": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

South Florida vs. Bowling Green 100% Spread -7.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $480K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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South Florida vs. Bowling Green

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
South Florida vs. Bowling Green100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -11.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -7.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Bowling Green 1H O/U 5.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
3Q Moneyline50%
Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Spread -38.50%
Spread -35.50%
Spread -34.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -2.50%
O/U 28.50%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1H O/U 31.50%
2H O/U 18.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q O/U 8.50%
2Q O/U 11.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 17.50%
2Q O/U 20.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q O/U 4.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
South Florida O/U 27.50%
South Florida O/U 30.50%
South Florida O/U 33.50%
South Florida O/U 36.50%
South Florida O/U 39.50%
Bowling Green O/U 8.50%
Bowling Green O/U 11.50%
Bowling Green O/U 14.50%
Bowling Green O/U 17.50%
Bowling Green O/U 20.50%
South Florida 1H O/U 16.50%
South Florida 1H O/U 18.50%
South Florida 1H O/U 20.50%
Bowling Green 1H O/U 7.50%
Bowling Green 1H O/U 9.50%
South Florida 2H O/U 14.50%
South Florida 2H O/U 16.50%
South Florida 2H O/U 18.50%
Bowling Green 2H O/U 5.50%
Bowling Green 2H O/U 7.50%
Bowling Green 2H O/U 9.50%
South Florida O/U 4.50%
Bowling Green O/U 1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.50%
South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%

Market context

South Florida vs. Bowling Green. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 83% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T21:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices South Florida vs. Bowling Green at 100% for "South Florida vs. Bowling Green".

South Florida vs. Bowling Green 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $480K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for South Florida vs. Bowling Green. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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