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Ohio vs. Miami (OH)

How the prediction markets are pricing "Ohio vs. Miami (OH)" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 35.5 77% O/U 37.5 75% O/U 39.5 72% O/U 41.5 66% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 11 Nov 2026
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Ohio vs. Miami (OH)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.577%
O/U 37.575%
O/U 39.572%
O/U 41.566%
Ohio O/U 20.564%
O/U 43.562%
O/U 45.556%
Miami (OH) O/U 23.554%
Ohio O/U 23.552%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)51%
Spread -0.551%
O/U 47.551%
1H O/U 21.551%
2H O/U 21.551%
2H O/U 24.551%
2H O/U 27.551%
2H O/U 30.551%
2H O/U 33.551%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.551%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.551%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.551%
Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.551%
Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.551%
Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.551%
Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.551%
Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.551%
Miami (OH) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.551%
Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.551%
Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.551%
Miami (OH) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.551%
Miami (OH) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.551%
Miami (OH) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.551%
Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.551%
Miami (OH) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.551%
Miami (OH) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 0.551%
Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 2.551%
Miami (OH) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.551%
Miami (OH) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Miami (OH) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.551%
Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Miami (OH) Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 19.551%
Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 24.551%
Miami (OH) Total Receptions: O/U 19.551%
Miami (OH) Total Receptions: O/U 24.551%
Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 19.551%
Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 21.551%
Miami (OH) Total First Downs: O/U 19.551%
Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 23.551%
Miami (OH) Total First Downs: O/U 21.551%
Miami (OH) Total First Downs: O/U 23.551%
1H Moneyline51%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -1.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
1Q O/U 7.550%
1Q O/U 10.550%
1Q O/U 13.550%
1Q O/U 16.550%
1Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 7.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Ohio 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio 1H O/U 13.550%
Ohio 1H O/U 15.550%
Miami (OH) 1H O/U 12.550%
Miami (OH) 1H O/U 14.550%
Miami (OH) 1H O/U 16.550%
Ohio 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio 2H O/U 15.550%
Miami (OH) 2H O/U 12.550%
Miami (OH) 2H O/U 14.550%
Miami (OH) 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Miami (OH) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Miami (OH) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Miami (OH) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -0.549%
1Q Moneyline49%
Spread -2.548%
Spread -1.548%
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.547%
Spread -2.545%
O/U 49.544%
1H O/U 24.543%
Ohio O/U 26.543%
Spread -3.542%
Miami (OH) O/U 26.541%
O/U 51.540%
Spread -4.538%
Spread -3.538%
Spread -4.537%
O/U 53.536%
Spread -5.535%
Spread -6.534%
Spread -5.534%
1H O/U 27.534%
Spread -6.531%
O/U 55.531%
Ohio O/U 29.530%
Miami (OH) O/U 29.530%
Spread -17.528%
Spread -7.528%
O/U 57.528%
Miami (OH) O/U 35.527%
Spread -7.526%
Spread -8.526%
Spread -8.525%
O/U 59.523%
Spread -10.522%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 63.521%
Ohio O/U 32.521%
Miami (OH) O/U 32.521%
O/U 61.520%
Spread -13.519%
Spread -13.518%
O/U 65.518%
Spread -14.517%
Spread -16.516%
1H O/U 30.515%
Spread -14.514%
Spread -16.514%
O/U 67.512%
O/U 69.512%
O/U 75.512%
O/U 71.511%
O/U 73.511%

Market context

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) — current market-implied probability: 77%. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio and Miami (OH), originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 77% for "Ohio vs. Miami (OH)".

O/U 35.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $103K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Ohio vs. Miami (OH). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
and

Trade Ohio vs. Miami (OH) on Oscar Predictions 2026

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Related Topics

Sports