Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 95% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 91% |
| O/U 46.5 | 90% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 16.5 | 86% |
| O/U 54.5 | 78% |
| O/U 52.5 | 76% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 19.5 | 76% |
| O/U 56.5 | 70% |
| Georgia State O/U 30.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 58.5 | 64% |
| Georgia State O/U 27.5 | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -17.5 | 56% |
| O/U 62.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| O/U 60.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| O/U 42.5 | 51% |
| O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| Georgia State O/U 33.5 | 40% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -12.5 | 39% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 70.5 | 24% |
| O/U 76.5 | 22% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State | 21% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -23.5 | 19% |
| Spread -27.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of northern illinois vs. georgia state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if North…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $246K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Which entertainment markets are available?
- Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
- When do award markets resolve?
- After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
- How accurate are award predictions?
- Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
- What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
- Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
- Who can trade Eurovision markets?
- Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
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