Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| LSU vs. Auburn | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 71% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 1H Moneyline | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 65% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 64% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| LSU O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| LSU 1H O/U 11.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| LSU 1H O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| LSU 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 49% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Auburn O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| LSU O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 55.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 38% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 57.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 73.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 82% chance of lsu vs. auburn. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Auburn, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.
Methodology
Entertainment-specific comparison page for LSU vs. Auburn. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.
Resolution & payout
Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Which entertainment markets are available?
- Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
- Who can trade Eurovision markets?
- Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
- How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
- UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
- Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
- Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
- Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
- Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
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