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Kansas vs. Kansas State

How the prediction markets are pricing "Kansas vs. Kansas State" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 35.5 100% 1H O/U 21.5 100% 1H O/U 24.5 100% 1H O/U 27.5 100% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $693K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Kansas vs. Kansas State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
Kansas 1H O/U 11.5100%
Kansas State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Kansas State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 37.597%
O/U 41.597%
O/U 43.594%
O/U 45.593%
O/U 47.593%
Kansas O/U 20.589%
O/U 49.587%
O/U 51.587%
Kansas O/U 23.582%
4Q O/U 7.581%
O/U 53.579%
Kansas State O/U 23.578%
Spread -0.574%
O/U 55.573%
3Q O/U 7.572%
4Q O/U 10.569%
Spread -0.567%
O/U 57.567%
4Q O/U 13.559%
O/U 59.558%
O/U 61.558%
Spread -1.554%
1Q O/U 10.553%
1Q O/U 13.553%
1Q O/U 16.553%
1Q O/U 19.553%
Kansas 1H O/U 13.553%
Kansas 1H O/U 15.553%
Kansas State 1H O/U 12.553%
1H Spread -0.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
2Q Spread -1.553%
2Q Spread -2.553%
2Q Spread -3.553%
2Q Spread -5.553%
Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.551%
O/U 39.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
Kansas O/U 32.550%
Kansas State O/U 26.550%
Kansas State O/U 29.550%
Kansas State O/U 32.550%
Kansas State O/U 35.550%
Kansas 2H O/U 11.550%
Kansas 2H O/U 13.550%
Kansas 2H O/U 15.550%
Kansas State 2H O/U 12.550%
Kansas State 2H O/U 14.550%
Kansas State 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Kansas O/U 3.550%
Kansas State O/U 3.550%
1H Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -2.549%
O/U 63.549%
1H Spread -7.548%
2Q O/U 13.547%
2Q O/U 16.547%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q247%
1H Spread -2.547%
1H Spread -3.547%
1H Spread -4.547%
1H Spread -5.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
2Q Moneyline47%
Kansas O/U 29.545%
4Q O/U 16.544%
Kansas O/U 26.544%
Kansas vs. Kansas State43%
3Q O/U 13.543%
Spread -3.541%
Spread -1.540%
O/U 65.540%
Spread -2.536%
Spread -4.536%
O/U 67.534%
Spread -5.533%
4Q O/U 19.533%
O/U 69.532%
Spread -6.530%
Spread -3.528%
Spread -4.527%
Spread -7.527%
3Q O/U 16.525%
Spread -8.523%
Spread -5.522%
O/U 71.521%
Spread -6.519%
3Q O/U 19.518%
Spread -10.517%
Spread -7.515%
O/U 75.514%
Spread -13.513%
O/U 73.513%
Spread -10.511%
Spread -8.511%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -20.58%
Spread -16.58%
Spread -17.57%
Spread -17.57%
Spread -16.56%
Spread -14.56%
Spread -13.56%
Spread -20.55%
2Q O/U 19.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas vs. kansas state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas and Kansas State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas" if Kansas win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 100% for "Kansas vs. Kansas State".

O/U 35.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $188K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Kansas vs. Kansas State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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