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Cincinnati vs. West Virginia

Snapshot for "Cincinnati vs. West Virginia": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

1H O/U 27.5 100% 1H O/U 30.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $647K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Cincinnati vs. West Virginia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.5100%
Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 41.597%
O/U 45.597%
Cincinnati O/U 23.596%
O/U 49.594%
O/U 51.592%
O/U 55.589%
O/U 53.587%
West Virginia O/U 23.586%
O/U 57.584%
4Q O/U 7.583%
O/U 47.582%
Spread -0.579%
O/U 59.576%
1H O/U 21.576%
1H O/U 24.576%
1H O/U 33.576%
1H Moneyline76%
4Q O/U 10.574%
O/U 61.573%
3Q O/U 7.573%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia69%
4Q O/U 13.569%
Spread -1.566%
Spread -2.565%
O/U 63.563%
3Q O/U 10.562%
4Q Spread -1.561%
O/U 65.557%
3Q O/U 13.557%
Spread -3.554%
2Q O/U 13.553%
2Q O/U 16.553%
2Q O/U 19.553%
4Q O/U 16.553%
Cincinnati O/U 20.553%
Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.553%
West Virginia 1H O/U 12.553%
O/U 67.552%
O/U 35.551%
O/U 37.551%
O/U 39.551%
West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.551%
O/U 43.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Cincinnati O/U 26.550%
Cincinnati O/U 29.550%
Cincinnati O/U 32.550%
West Virginia O/U 26.550%
West Virginia O/U 29.550%
West Virginia O/U 32.550%
West Virginia O/U 35.550%
Cincinnati 2H O/U 11.550%
Cincinnati 2H O/U 13.550%
Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.550%
West Virginia 2H O/U 12.550%
West Virginia 2H O/U 14.550%
West Virginia 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Cincinnati O/U 3.550%
West Virginia O/U 4.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -4.549%
2H O/U 24.549%
Spread -5.547%
1Q O/U 13.547%
O/U 69.546%
Spread -6.545%
4Q O/U 19.543%
O/U 71.542%
4Q Spread -2.540%
3Q Spread -3.538%
O/U 73.535%
3Q O/U 16.535%
Spread -7.534%
Spread -1.531%
Spread -8.530%
Spread -0.530%
O/U 75.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -10.526%
1H Spread -0.525%
1H Spread -3.525%
3Q O/U 19.524%
Spread -13.521%
Spread -3.520%
Spread -14.516%
Spread -4.516%
Spread -5.516%
Spread -16.513%
Spread -6.513%
Spread -17.512%
Spread -7.510%
Spread -20.59%
Spread -8.58%
Spread -10.56%
Spread -13.54%
Spread -14.54%
Spread -16.53%
Spread -17.53%
Spread -20.52%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
West Virginia 1H O/U 14.50%
West Virginia 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cincinnati vs. west virginia. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 27.5 at 100% for "Cincinnati vs. West Virginia".

1H O/U 27.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $180K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Cincinnati vs. West Virginia. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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