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Air Force vs. Nevada

"Air Force vs. Nevada" — live odds for awards shows and entertainment markets, plus platform comparison.

O/U 28.5 100% O/U 30.5 100% O/U 32.5 100% O/U 34.5 100% Volume: $332K Liquidity: $235K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Air Force vs. Nevada

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
1H O/U 18.5100%
2H O/U 18.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q O/U 3.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 9.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Air Force O/U 21.5100%
Nevada O/U 15.5100%
Nevada 1H O/U 8.5100%
Air Force 2H O/U 11.5100%
Air Force 2H O/U 13.5100%
Air Force 2H O/U 15.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
O/U 56.599%
Nevada O/U 21.591%
2H O/U 27.590%
2H O/U 30.590%
4Q O/U 19.590%
Nevada O/U 24.590%
Nevada 2H O/U 10.590%
Nevada 2H O/U 12.590%
Air Force O/U 24.574%
Spread -1.564%
Air Force vs. Nevada62%
Spread -2.556%
O/U 46.553%
2H O/U 24.553%
4Q O/U 16.553%
Nevada O/U 18.553%
Nevada 2H O/U 8.553%
Spread -26.550%
Spread -23.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -14.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 66.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Air Force O/U 27.550%
Air Force O/U 30.550%
Air Force O/U 33.550%
Nevada O/U 27.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Air Force O/U 3.550%
Nevada O/U 2.550%
1H Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -11.544%
Spread -9.538%
Spread -7.536%
Spread -1.534%
O/U 62.533%
Spread -10.529%
Spread -2.526%
O/U 68.520%
Spread -5.519%
Spread -4.519%
Spread -3.518%
Spread -6.516%
Spread -11.516%
Spread -4.515%
Spread -10.57%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -7.54%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -14.51%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q O/U 15.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q O/U 12.50%
3Q O/U 15.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 16.50%
Nevada 1H O/U 10.50%
Nevada 1H O/U 12.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of air force vs. nevada. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Air Force and Nevada, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 100% for "Air Force vs. Nevada".

O/U 28.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $332K.

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Air Force vs. Nevada. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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