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Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

How the prediction markets are pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner 99% Volume: $177K Liquidity: $99K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner99%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones97%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.590%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-2.577%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 Winner77%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 3.524%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: brandon nakashima vs jack pinnington jones. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bran…

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
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Trade Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington … on Oscar Predictions 2026

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Related Topics

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