Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group F match between Tunisia and the Netherlands will take place at Kansas City Stadium on 25 June 2026, with kick-off at 7:00 PM ET. This fixture determines whether the Netherlands top their group, while Tunisia seeks to avoid a third consecutive World Cup without a win. The market focuses solely on the score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.

Historical precedents in major sporting events often blend public sentiment with expert judgment to shape outcomes, much like Eurovision’s 50/50 jury and televote split or the Oscars’ preferential ballot for Best Picture. In football, crowd-implied probabilities such as the current 9% YES for an exact score must be weighed against tactical realities and team form. The Netherlands’ strong group performance contrasts with Tunisia’s defensive resilience under Hervé Renard, suggesting that narrow margins or low-scoring draws may be more probable than the market currently implies.

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements, injury updates, and weather conditions at Kansas City Stadium, as these factors can significantly alter match dynamics. Recent reports from ESPN confirm the Netherlands are favoured with a -175 moneyline, while Tunisia sits at +250, indicating a clear expectation of a Dutch victory [1]. Additionally, Tunisia’s training sessions ahead of the match, highlighted by FIFA, suggest a focus on defensive organisation that could limit scoring opportunities [5]. Any late changes to squad availability or tactical shifts by either coach will be critical catalysts for price movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.