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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Snapshot for "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C": award probabilities, show odds, every CTA to Oscar Predictions 2026.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $323K Liquidity: $853K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.560%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)49%
Match Winner46%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)10%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
How accurate are award predictions?
Variable. Industry-predictable awards (Oscar Best Picture) have high market accuracy (Brier ~0.15). Reality-TV outcomes with small markets carry more noise. Eurovision is notorious for market upsets due to bloc voting.
How are reality-TV outcomes verified?
UMA Oracle uses the official show website or producer statement as the resolution source. Very narrowly defined markets (e.g. "Will X be voted off the island?") rely on the official show notes.
Is entertainment trading worth the effort?
Niche, but lucrative for experts. Award markets have fewer informed traders than political markets; combining industry expertise (film, music) with active research often surfaces mispricings. Volume cap: large bets move the market.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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