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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction markets are pricing "LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 98% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51% Volume: $459K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Oscar Predictions 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?98%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Match Winner1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)0%

Market context

The LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOS in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M …

Methodology

Entertainment-specific comparison page for LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) shows the award probability. For awards markets, Polymarket usually has the deepest liquidity; Betfair runs comparable markets for Oscars/Emmys; Manifold for Eurovision.

Resolution & payout

Entertainment markets settle on official award ceremony or show end. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL to the official award website. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Which entertainment markets are available?
Oscars / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, plus reality-TV outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume usually sits in the five- to six-figure range per market.
When do award markets resolve?
After the official announcement — e.g. Oscars ceremony end for Academy Awards markets, Eurovision final end for ESC markets. UMA Optimistic Oracle typically uses the official award website as the resolution source.
What was the top Oscar 2025 market?
Best Picture, with ~$2.8M volume on Polymarket. "Anora" started as an underdog at ~8% and closed at ~62% before the ceremony — the biggest single Oscar market swing since 2019.
Who can trade Eurovision markets?
Polymarket is globally accessible but geo-blocked in select jurisdictions — traders there use broker frontends with a different geo footprint to reach the order book. Eurovision markets have strong European liquidity; German/Austrian/Swiss flow often drives consensus.
Are there politics-entertainment crossover markets?
Yes — e.g. "Will X be parodied on SNL?", "Who will host the next Oscars?". These have thinner liquidity but offer alpha for traders who read pop-culture and political worlds together.
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Trade LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season on Oscar Predictions 2026

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