Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Lower Bracket semifinal 1 in Counter-Strike 2’s Super DraculaN Group A, where Inner Circle Esports (now IC Esports) faces 9INE at Bucharest’s £150k LAN venue. The match was initially scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026, with the prediction market resolving to “YES” if Inner Circle wins. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 10% for Inner Circle, despite Strafe users favouring them with 67.5% of votes [2].

Historical precedents in esports prediction markets often mirror voting splits seen in Eurovision, where jury and public votes diverge sharply. In Counter-Strike, lower-bracket matches frequently produce unexpected outcomes due to fatigue and pressure, as seen when 9INE advanced 2-0 against GamerLegion in the same tournament’s lower bracket [1]. This precedent suggests the 10% market probability may reflect public caution rather than jury confidence, akin to Oscar preferential ballots where niche contenders win despite low initial odds.

Traders should monitor live score updates on GosuGamers for real-time momentum shifts [5], and watch for any schedule changes or forfeit announcements before the 25 June deadline. IC Esports, a British outfit entering CS2 in January 2025, ranks #58 globally with 2 wins in their last 5 matches [2][4]. 9INE’s recent dominance in Bucharest, including their lower-bracket progression, adds weight to their 32.5% Strafe vote share [1]. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to 50-50, per standard tournament rules [3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.